AI a velká očekávání (1)

From the beginning, AI researchers were not shy about making predictions of their comming successes. The following statement by Herbert Simon in 1957 is often quoted:

It is not my aim to surprise or shock you - but the simplest way I can summarize is to say that there are now in the world machines that think, that learn and that create. Moreover, their ability to do these things is going to increase rapidly until - in a visible future - the range of problems they can handle will be coextensive with the range to which the human mind ha been applied.

The term "visible future" is vague, but Simon also made more concrete predictions: that within 10 years a computer would be chess champion and a significant mathematical theorem would be proved by machine. These predictions came true (or approximately true) within 40 years rather than 10. Simon's overconfidence was due to the promising performance of early AI systems on simple examples. In almost all cases, however, these early systems failed on more difficult problems.
-- Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach (4th Edition) (1.3.3 A dose of reality (1966-1973))